The 2024 Senate race landscape just took a big left turn

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There’s a reason I’ve spent all year pushing everyone to get behind Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown’s 2024 reelection campaign in Ohio. This week’s results in Ohio prove that he can win his toss up race. And if Sherrod Brown wins, Democrats probably keep the Senate majority in 2024.

To keep the Senate majority, Democrats must:

– win all the “Lean Democrat” races (including Tester and Rosen)

– replace Sinema with Democrat Ruben Gallego (entirely doable)

– win Sherrod Brown’s toss up race in Ohio

That would give the Democrats 50 Senate seats right there. If Biden wins reelection, 50 Senate seats is a majority. More importantly, we’d have 50 Senators willing to exempt the necessary stuff from the filibuster. We’d have what we need.

Under this scenario, if Manchin runs for reelection in West Virginia and wins, he’d be the 51st Democratic Senator, which would be insurance but we wouldn’t need him. So he wouldn’t be able to blackmail us over anything. He’d be powerless.

We have our marching orders. Donate to Sherrod Brown, or sign up to phone bank for him, or just follow him and retweet his campaign stuff whenever he posts it. In a toss up race, your personal efforts always ends up making the difference between a narrow loss and a narrow win.

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