They’re finally starting to admit it

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Of all the reasons why 2024 polling has been such a joke, the biggest has been the sheer number of polls that claim Donald Trump is winning with youth voters. Joe Biden utterly dominated over Trump with youth voters in 2020. And since that time Roe v. Wade has become a huge issue with youth voters, meaning Biden is likely even more ahead with that demographic.

So why do polls keep showing that Trump is ahead of Biden with youth voters for 2024? In short, they’re wrong. They’re wildly, laughably wrong. Worse, these pollsters intuitively know that their results are wrong, yet they’ve been refusing to fix their flawed sampling methods.

Why? You’d have to ask them. But the general rule these days is that any given poll gets more media coverage and credibility if it’s laughably wrong, than if it’s reasonably correct. The media loves nothing more than to take a shocking poll that can’t possibly be accurate, and hype it as if it were 100% correct – even while ignoring all the polls that say the opposite. So pollsters have a strong motivation these days to get it wrong.

But now the media is finally starting to admit that President Biden is actually going to dominate with “Gen Z” youth voters:

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Now that the media is finally admitting that Biden is well ahead of Trump with youth voters, pollsters will no longer have any motivation to produce faulty “shocking” results showing Trump ahead with youth voters. So hopefully we’ll now see the polls shift in a more accurate direction. It shouldn’t work this way, but it often does.

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