Susan Collins is toast

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Since the mockery that was Brett Kavanaughโ€™s appointment to the Supreme Court in 2018, one senator more than any other has been seen as a hypocrite, an enemy of women, and an enabler to the patriarchy. Itโ€™s 2020 now and the public has not forgotten. Susan Collins is up for reelection, and sheโ€™s toast.

Iโ€™m typically hesitant in my prognostications of elections. I like to temper my predictions with words like โ€œprobably,โ€ โ€œlikely,โ€ โ€œostensibly,โ€ and similar. But this election seems like itโ€™s pretty much been over since Collins gave her vote for Kavanaugh. And really, this article isnโ€™t about Collins or her hopeless reelection campaign. I wonโ€™t even bother to talk about the polling lead that her Democratic rival Sara Gideon has over her. Really, I think itโ€™s that pointless.

Instead, the point of this article is to draw attention to the fact that accountability can still exist in the contemporary political landscape. In the Trump post-truth era, accountability is something of a quaint notion. Yet Mainers appear to be holding Susan Collins accountable. That they donโ€™t seem to have forgotten Collinsโ€™ dereliction of duty is striking to me. I thought that surely theyโ€™d have forgotten. But it turns out that some political actions have consequences and some politicians still have to answer to their constituents. They canโ€™t only answer to monied interests or the Trump agenda.

The question remains: Why? Why was Susan Collins hoisted by her own petard when it seems like so few Republican politicians are? Is it something about Maine voters? Is it something about Collinsโ€™ opponent Sara Gideon? After some thought, I think the answer can be chalked up to a number of factors, but one key factor stands out among the others.

Simply put, I think it has much to do with one factor โ€” betrayal. When voters feel betrayed, it seems like little can coax them back. I have to say that a lot of factors can go into voters feeling betrayed, but even just one misstep can upheave years of trust. Indeed, Collins is seeking reelection for a fifth term. Mainers had decades of trust in Collins and she squandered that trust to keep her seat on the Trump train. A lesson learned.

Of course, the question youโ€™re probably asking now is whether the Democrats can invoke a sense of betrayal among Trumpโ€™s supporters. Answer: I fear not. Betrayal, like beauty, is in the eye of the beholder. Put another way, I think it is generally difficult to convince people to see what they themselves choose not to see. Put a fact in front of a Trump voter and they see fiction. That said, this is worth further contemplation, in case any strategists are reading.

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