Swing state trouble for Trump

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Former Trump White House aide Cassidy Hutchinson recently told MSNBCโ€™s Jen Psaki that her โ€œdoor is completely shut to voting for Donald Trump.โ€ Hutchinson then sounded the alarm, warning that โ€œI think everybody should vote for Joe Biden if they want our democracy to survive. In September, she similarly told CNNโ€™s Jake Tapper that she thinks Trump โ€œis the most grave threat we will face to our democracy in our lifetime, and potentially in American history.โ€

Hutchinson canโ€™t be attacked or dismissed as some โ€œliberal snowflake,โ€ and her position in the Trump administration enabled her to share an authoritative perspective. Given the existential threat she described that we all now face, itโ€™s easy to lose hope. One way to stay positive about Americaโ€™s democratic future is to learn about new causes for optimism that point to Trump losing the 2024 presidential election.

One example is reporting this weekend from The Hill about several โ€œfake electorโ€ probes in the pipeline that โ€œcould spell more trouble for Trump.โ€ The attorney generalโ€™s office in several swing states are still weighing whether to bring charges in connection with people who fraudulently tried to certify a Trump win in 2020. The potential additional states include Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania, New Mexico, Nevada, and Wisconsin.

If any one of these swing statesโ€™ investigations moves forward, it would come on top of the progress of the federal and Georgia election subversion cases, putting Trump and his team in even greater legal peril. Ongoing developments such as this one that are running quietly in the background donโ€™t get covered much by the media. But these additional multiple legal threats to Trump are real and can โ€œprove consequential.โ€ So, itโ€™s not surprising this article is The Hillโ€™s most popular (at the time of this writing).

Another cause for optimism is the fact that Trumpโ€™s odds of retaking the presidency in next yearโ€™s election (which would be the first presidential rematch since the 1950s) may be even worse than most people think. According to NBC News, โ€œElection losers usually lose the rematch, too.โ€ In a new analysis, NBC News points out that nearly 77% (53 out of 69) of senator and governor rematches since 1950 have gone to the original victors.

It is hard to imagine a single bit of news or positive poll between now and Election Day 2024 that could totally quell the defeatist monster than lurks inside us all. However, the fact is that there is plenty of reason for optimismโ€”and it is often more than we know.

Hi, it's Bill Palmer. I'm as sick of Donald Trump as you are. I'm expanding Palmer Report's operations so we can lead the fight against him. Click here to donate $25 or $50.