The headlines about 2024 continue to be dominated by disinformation (the media’s false claims that Trump is ahead of Biden in the polls when the polling averages don’t say this at all), and sideshow stories that won’t end up having any impact in 2024 at all (Joe Manchin, No Labels, RFK Jr, or whoever else the media is doomsday-hyping this week). But the real story of 2024 is elsewhere – and it’s starting to come into focus.
Days ago, House Democrat Abigail Spanberger announced that she won’t seek reelection in 2024 because she’s running for Governor of Virginia in 2025. In response, Yevgeny “Eugene” Vindman – twin brother of Alexander Vindman – announced on Thursday that he’s entering the race to replace Spanberger in the House.
Just like that the Democrats have gained a high profile and highly viable candidate in a 2024 House race that’s rated “toss up” and is expected to be tightly competitive. This matters, because majority control of the House could come down to one seat, and will almost certainly be determined by the “toss up” races.
Once you set all the sideshow stuff and misleading empty headlines about 2024 aside, you see the reality of 2024 coming into focus. President Biden is likely to win reelction, for reasons that are fairly obvious. The big question is whether folks on our side will put in enough work in House and Senate races such that Biden goes into his second term with a functional Congress. House races like the Virginia 7th will provide that answer. And now the Democrats have a high profile candidate in that race.
Bill Palmer is the publisher of the political news outlet Palmer Report