Donald Trump is holding a campaign rally in Pennsylvania tonight for a reason: his already-slim 2020 odds drop to essentially zero if he loses the state – and the numbers say he’s currently losing the state. Joe Biden, the current 2020 Democratic primary frontrunner, has a whopping eleven point lead over Trump in the state of Pennsylvania according to Quinnipiac. Suffice it to say that Trump isn’t taking losing well.
Donald Trump and Rudy Giuliani tried to convince the government of Ukraine to create a phony scandal about Joe Biden, but now that that’s failed, Trump is reduced to his usual insults. Trump posted this surreal tweet this morning: “Looks like Bernie Sanders is history. Sleepy Joe Biden is pulling ahead and think about it, I’m only here because of Sleepy Joe and the man who took him off the 1% trash heap, President O! China wants Sleepy Joe BADLY!”
This is strange on so many levels. Trump is correct that Biden has opened a huge lead in the Democratic primary, and that Sanders has seen his poll numbers go off a cliff. But it’s far too early to be making any assumptions about who will end up being the Democratic nominee. It’s a large field full of quality candidates, some of whom are still establishing themselves on the national stage, we’re still nearly a year away from the first primary vote being cast. Then there’s the really weird part.
Donald Trump’s tweet almost seems to be acknowledging that Joe Biden is riding President Obama’s coattails – which is a de facto admission on Trump’s part that Obama is exceedingly popular. This is odd, considering how much time Trump spends on Twitter pretending that his own poll numbers are higher than those of Obama. In any case, Biden isn’t the only candidate currently stomping Trump in Pennsylvania; several other 2020 Democratic contenders are also ahead of Trump in the state in that same Quinnipiac poll.
Bill Palmer is the publisher of the political news outlet Palmer Report