This morning Palmer Report explained just how badly Donald Trump was losing with his Iran gambit. He thought taking out Qasem Soleimani would make him more popular in the U.S., and that it would cause Iran to lose leverage. But Trump doesn’t understand how politics or leverage works, and so the stunt has created even more problems for him at home, even as Iran gains the upper hand. Now it’s gotten even worse for Trump.
The Iraqi Parliament has now voted to expel the U.S. military. This means Iraq is essentially siding with Iran over the United States, which is stunning considering how closely the Iraq regime has been allied with the U.S, and how much Iraq and Iran have traditionally hated each other. This is a major blow to Donald Trump, because it’ll make it that much harder for him to convince voters that he has any idea what he’s doing in the region.
It all serves to hand even more leverage to Iran, which has clearly demonstrated over the past several years that it doesn’t want a war with the United States, and instead merely wants Trump gone from power. Now Iran is in a position where it can needle Trump and further weaken him ahead of 2020 – and as long as Iran doesn’t do anything egregious enough to push a majority of Americans into wanting a war, Trump won’t be able to respond to Iran in any meaningful way.
Trump’s worsening mess prompted him to post this strange tweet this afternoon: “These Media Posts will serve as notification to the United States Congress that should Iran strike any U.S. person or target, the United States will quickly & fully strike back, & perhaps in a disproportionate manner. Such legal notice is not required, but is given nevertheless!”
To be clear, Donald Trump’s tweet isn’t anything; it’s total gibberish. He knows it too. He’s just hoping that by posting this silly tweet, the government of Iran will somehow decide that maybe Trump really does mean it. The trouble for Trump is that he’s spent his entire life identifying suckers and then defrauding them out of their money and property, and so he thinks world leaders are suckers too. In reality they’re all laughing at him. They have been from the start. He’s the worst negotiator of all time.
Bill Palmer is the publisher of the political news outlet Palmer Report