What happens when you’re so historically unpopular that even some members of your own party have calculated that their best way to get ahead is to throw you overboard, and you’ve gone and made it even worse by picking fights with a number of them? That’s the question Donald Trump should be grappling with these days. As it turns out, his advisers are grappling with it – and some of those advisers now think he’s indeed going to be impeached.
Some of Donald Trump’s own advisers have begun warning him that he’s on a path toward impeachment and potential removal from office, according to a new report from Newsweek (link). Moreover, some of those advisers appear to be so desperate to get their warnings across to Trump that they’re resorting to leaking it to the media. The premise for impeachment is simple enough: it comes down to math, and Trump is quickly running out of allies.
It only takes a simple majority vote for impeachment hearings to begin in the House of Representatives. That would mean that around ten percent of the Republicans in the House would need to join all of the Democrats in the name of getting the hearings underway. From there Donald Trump runs the risk of having his various scandals not only fully exposed, but essentially advertised each day during televised hearings. This could serve to further deplete his historically low support among the public, prompting even more Republicans in Congress to feel compelled to turn against him in order to avoid getting wiped out in the midterms.
No U.S. President has ever been removed through impeachment. Andrew Johnson and Bill Clinton were each impeached, but ultimately the Senate did not vote to remove them. Impeachment hearings for Richard Nixon were about to begin when he resigned. So if Donald Trump is impeached and removed, he will indeed make history – just not the kind he was hoping for. If you find Palmer Report valuable, make a donation.
Bill Palmer is the publisher of the political news outlet Palmer Report