American voters have been steadily fleeing from the Republican party ever since Trump was elected. The latest poll suggested that only 25% of voters identify as Republican.
But there are other facts and statistics at play here which experts say are likely to give Democrats and left-leaning Independents a significant advantage as we move toward the 2022 election. In fact, you could say that President Biden and the Democrats have a secret weapon in their arsenal which could help a great deal for Democrats to overcome the historical trend showing the President’s party typically loses its Congressional majority at the first mid-term elections.
Democrats are not only acquiring voters as the Republican party sheds them — they are acquiring college-educated voters, which Republicans have been steadily losing for years now. This is very bad news for Republicans.
Voter turnout is always important for the parties, but even more so in midterm elections. Statistics show college-educated voters who have a degree turn out to vote at a much higher rate than those who do not. In 2018, for example, 67% of college-educated voters showed up to cast a ballot – that is 12 points higher than those with some college but no degree, and 25 points higher than those with nothing higher than a high school diploma
Of course, this does not mean we can rest on our laurels. We still have to work hard to turn out the Democratic vote, but good news is always welcome. Hopefully, this will at least make that hurdle of adding more seats in the House and Senate a little easier to climb.