So the idiot went and did it

Donald Trump (or whoever is ghostwriting for him while he gets lost on a golf course) posted this on social media yesterday: “I have implemented a 25% Tariff on Imports from Mexico and Canada (10% on Canadian Energy), and a 10% additional Tariff on China.” The idiot went and did it. And so here we go.
It’s tricky to predict how this will play out. A trade war is always bad for the economies of every nation involved. A multilateral trade war always goes particularly poorly for the side that starts it (imagine walking into a bar and punching five different guys in a row). Logic would suggest that the U.S. will suffer so badly in this trade war that Trump will have to cave to these other nations before long. But that same logic would dictate that Trump never start such a stupid trade war to begin with. The upshot is that Trump isn’t using any kind of logic at all. Let’s not forget he’s completely senile.
So what will happen? The U.S. economy will suffer badly. Average Americans will quickly become very upset at Trump, and his approval rating will plummet from its already historically low position. That would be the point at which any mentally competent President would pull the plug on the whole stunt. But again, Trump is not mentally competent. We don’t know how long he’ll stubbornly insist on sticking with this self defeating, self destructive trade war.
We can probably expect the other nations involved to do one of two things. Either they’ll decide to just wait it out, under the expectation that eventually America’s billionaires will get so tired of the weak economy that they’ll force Trump to drop the whole thing. Or the other nations will offer Trump some superficial or imaginary “concessions” as a way of letting him back out of the stunt while saving a little face.
But again, we have to remember that this is happening because the President of the United States is a dementia patient who’s completely senile. He spends most of his time talking about sharks and batteries and cannibals, and he responded to the airplane crash by saying “Do you want me to swim?”
Donald Trump is a person who would be heavily medicated in a dementia care facility if he were anyone else. So don’t expect him to behave with any sort of logic, strategy, or plan. Don’t waste your time looking for one. Don’t try to assign a mentally competent strategy to his senile behavior. Just remember we’re dealing with a fully mentally incompetent President, and the best way to stop him is to make sure everyone in the country knows that he’s mentally incompetent.