Another House seat just came into play for the Democrats in the midterms

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Out of 435 House races, most of them are in districts that lean too far to the left or right to be competitive. Only about 20% of House races are remotely competitive, and only about 10% of them are highly competitive. Accordingly, winning the House majority comes down to focusing your resources on those highly competitive races. If a race is going to be decided by just a point or two, and you steer nationwide donations and volunteer hours toward that race, it’s comparatively easy to shift the race by a point or two and win it.

One good way to figure out which races are competitive is to look at the Cook Political Report. The site classifies each House race along the lines of “Likely D” or “Lean D” or “Toss up” or “Lean R” or “Likely R.” These rankings can change, but even when they do, it’s usually by small increments.

But this week’s political earthquake in Kansas has prompted Cook Political Report to shift the House race in Nebraska’s 2nd District from “Likely R” all the way to “Toss up.” In other words, it wasn’t considered particularly winnable for the Democrats, but now it is. The Democratic candidate’s name is Tony Vargas, and you can find his campaign website here.

   

It’s important to keep in mind that even if you don’t live anywhere near Nebraska, you can still donate, which will make a big difference in a race like this, which has a comparatively low profile. You can also volunteer for the Vargas campaign, no matter where you live. There is volunteer work that you can do remotely from home, which doesn’t even require you to have live interaction with voters, if that’s not your thing. So let’s get out there and help Democratic candidate Tony Vargas to flip this House seat in Nebraska.

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